TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cienciano and FBC Melgar, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Cienciano vs. FBC Melgar match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cienciano and FBC Melgar, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Cienciano vs. FBC Melgar match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market may price certain scorelines differently than traditional bookmakers, especially for less obvious outcomes. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from professional oddsmakers, though both sources provide valuable perspective on match likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order book mechanism, where each exact score outcome is represented as a separate contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders; higher prices indicate stronger belief in that scoreline occurring. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily you can enter or exit positions, and prices update continuously as new bets flow in throughout the pre-match period.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the Cienciano vs. Melgar match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Winning positions are those that correctly predicted the precise goal total for both teams. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, contingent on confirmation from official match records and the platform's verification process.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, confirmed lineup announcements, and recent form trends heading into the fixture. Weather conditions and venue factors can also shift trader expectations. As match day approaches, late-breaking tactical adjustments or betting syndicate activity may create sharp price movements. Historical head-to-head records and any recent changes in coaching staff could influence how traders price different scorelines, particularly if either team has undergone significant transition or is in exceptional form.