TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
CS Cienciano vs. FBC Melgar
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CS Cienciano vs FBC Melgar?

Volume:
$316,882

Melgar

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 11:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melgar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$129,892
N/A
N/A
$68,782
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FBC Melgar

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,813
N/A
N/A
$40,520
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CS Cienciano vs. FBC Melgar)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cienciano

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84,201
N/A
N/A
$58,732
Settled
No
polymarket

CS Cienciano

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Peru Liga 1 soccer match between CS Cienciano and FBC Melgar scheduled for July 17, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Cienciano win, draw, Melgar win) and Kalshi (one market covering all three possible outcomes). Resolution is based on the official final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket employs three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules (draw resolves Yes on cancellation, win markets resolve No). Kalshi uses a single ternary market with no explicit cancellation clause, creating structural and procedural divergence.Hero tip: Traders should be aware that on Polymarket, a full game cancellation with no makeup is a bullish signal for the draw market (resolves Yes) but bearish for both win markets (resolve No). On Kalshi, the cancellation handling is undefined—contact support to clarify whether cancellation triggers a No resolution, Yes resolution, or market cancellation. This asymmetry could create arbitrage or hedging opportunities if one platform's cancellation rule becomes more favorable than the other.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Cienciano win, draw, Melgar win). Cienciano and Melgar win markets resolve No if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no makeup. All markets remain open if postponed. Resolution source: official Liga 1 statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Single ternary market resolving Yes if Cienciano wins, Melgar wins, or tie occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolution source not specified. Key Quote: 'If Cienciano wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Melgar wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.' (All outcomes resolve Yes, but no guidance on cancellation or postponement.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Friday, July 17, 2026 between CS Cienciano and FBC Melgar.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Cienciano vs Melgar professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for July 17, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match has three possible outcomes: a Cienciano victory, a Melgar victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Cienciano vs. Melgar match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues for sports event forecasting. Traders on both platforms are pricing the likelihood of each outcome, and the consensus view reflects real-time odds as participants buy and sell positions. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each venue is valuing the match, giving you a fuller picture of market sentiment. Total volume across these venues shows the level of trader interest and confidence in this event.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets rely on continuous trading among participants, where prices emerge from supply and demand. Prediction market odds often reflect crowd wisdom and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information surfaces. Many traders monitor both venues to identify discrepancies. Over time, prediction markets have shown strong accuracy for event outcomes, making them a valuable complement to conventional sports betting.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market designs or user bases with varying risk appetites. Arbitrage traders often exploit these spreads, but differences can persist if transaction costs or platform friction outweigh the profit opportunity. Monitoring both venues helps you spot when one is pricing the outcome more favorably than the other.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that affect competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any off-field developments involving either squad can shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions or venue factors may also influence expectations. As the match date approaches, late-breaking reports or official confirmations tend to drive sharper price moves. Monitoring sports news and team social media in the days before the event is essential for staying ahead of market repricing.