TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 12:33 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CS Cienciano and CA Lanús, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CS Cienciano" if CS Cienciano score more goals than CA Lanús in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CS Cienciano and CA Lanús score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Lanús" if CA Lanús score more goals than CS Cienciano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CS Cienciano and CA Lanús, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CS Cienciano" if CS Cienciano score more goals than CA Lanús in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CS Cienciano and CA Lanús score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Lanús" if CA Lanús score more goals than CS Cienciano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders buying and selling shares push odds toward what they collectively believe is most likely. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs, though both aim to reflect true probabilities—just through different incentive structures and participant bases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief of all participants. As more traders buy or sell a particular outcome, its price adjusts automatically. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing and allows you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the second-half result of the match is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result reported by the relevant sports authorities. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges and match conditions develop. Resolution timing depends on when the event concludes and results are officially published.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before it resolves. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers significant repricing. First-half performance and momentum can reshape expectations for the second half, as can weather conditions or referee decisions that affect play style. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may also influence trader positioning. Real-time match events, such as goals, red cards, or tactical shifts, typically drive the most dramatic price movements as traders update their forecasts based on unfolding action.