TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Europa League soccer match between Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Crystal Palace versus Lech Poznan Europa League match scheduled for September 17, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals—within the standard match duration of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty phases are excluded from all thresholds. The governing rules consistently apply across all markets, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money changing hands. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of different outcomes. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan match will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout according to the contract's value at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Crystal Palace or Lech Poznan would likely cause significant movement. Tactical changes announced by the managers, such as a shift in formation or starting lineup, could also impact expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, like heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the likelihood of goals being scored, leading to adjustments in the market price. Late-breaking news or unexpected developments could all contribute to shifts in this market.