TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming English Premier League soccer match between Crystal Palace and Ipswich Town. It focuses on how many goals the winning team might score beyond their opponent, reflecting expectations about the competitiveness and scoring dynamics of the game.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Crystal Palace versus Ipswich Town professional EPL soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Crystal Palace winning by more than 2.5 goals, Crystal Palace winning by more than 1.5 goals, Ipswich Town winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Ipswich Town winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions being met will resolve the relevant market to 'Yes.' The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows bettors to directly influence the price through their trades. If a significant number of participants believe a particular spread is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities than those found at sportsbooks, though discrepancies can occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's outcome. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure pushing prices higher and increased selling pressure lowering them. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Crystal Palace vs Ipswich match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the spread. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Crystal Palace or Ipswich Town would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather forecasts could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to team management or key personnel could also shift market sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price on Kalshi.