TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of Crystal Palace FC covering a -1.5 spread against KKS Lech Poznań in their UEFA Europa League match. Currently, the consensus probability of Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) is 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Predict, and will resolve according to the official final score reported on uefa.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the final result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on September 17, 2026.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for September 17 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for September 17 at 3:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for the Crystal Palace vs. Lech Poznań match, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially when a large and diverse group participates. However, sportsbooks often offer more markets and higher liquidity, while this market has a volume of $442,200. Both sources offer valuable information for informed decision-making.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Polymarket may have more experienced football traders, while Predict might have a broader range of participants. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $442,200 overall—influence price discovery. Different trading interfaces and fee structures can also contribute to discrepancies. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same event across the two platforms.