TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Crystal Palace FC and KKS Lech Poznań. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. A 'Neither' outcome is possible if no goal is scored within that timeframe.
In the upcoming match between Crystal Palace FC and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC" if Crystal Palace FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Crystal Palace FC and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC" if Crystal Palace FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets are driven by real money at stake, incentivizing participants to be as accurate as possible. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment differs from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new information or unexpected developments, potentially offering more dynamic pricing.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors KKS Lech Poznań to score first at 98 percent, while Predict leans toward the same outcome. These differences can also arise from variations in how each platform handles liquidity and order execution. Furthermore, the composition of traders on each platform—their expertise, risk tolerance, and access to information—can influence price discovery, resulting in distinct probabilities for the same event.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. A significant shift in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media trends, might also impact the odds. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the likelihood of either team scoring first is crucial for informed trading in this market.