TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 15K
- Kalshi
Above 15K - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 15, 2026
Closed: Jun 14, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Vince Staples' album Cry Baby will accumulate above 3,000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5–11, 2026 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 98.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Album Equivalent Units data for that specific tracking period. Watch for the official chart data release on June 14, 2026, which will settle this market based on whether the album achieves above 18,000 total Album Equivalent Units during the June 5–11 tracking week.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by album equivalent units for 'Cry Baby' by Vince Staples during the June 5-11, 2026 U.S. tracking week. Album equivalent units combine pure album sales, digital track sales, and streaming activity into a single metric. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome: above 3K, 6K, 9K, 12K, 15K, 18K, 21K, 24K, 27K, or 30K units. Data is sourced from Luminate Data, LLC, a neutral provider of music industry metrics. Resolution occurs on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week.
Frequently asked questions
The market resolves on Jun 14, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Album Equivalent Units data for Cry Baby during the June 5–11, 2026 tracking week. Album Equivalent Units combine album sales, track sales, and streaming activity into a single metric used by the music industry to measure commercial performance. The outcome is binary: if the album achieves above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during that specific tracking period, the yes contract resolves to 100; otherwise it resolves to zero.
Key catalysts include chart debuts and early streaming performance on major platforms like Spotify and Apple Music, which often correlate with Album Equivalent Units. Radio airplay announcements, music video releases, and promotional appearances can drive listener engagement. Industry commentary from Billboard, Pitchfork, or other tastemakers may shift trader sentiment. Pre-order numbers and social media buzz around the album's release can signal commercial momentum. Competitive releases in the same week or unexpected artist news could also influence market pricing as traders reassess Cry Baby's relative commercial position heading into the June 5–11 tracking window.
