TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cruzeiro and Chapecoense in the Copa do Brasil tournament. The outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The market offers three possible results: a win for Cruzeiro, a win for Chapecoense, or a tie.
The event determines the winner of the Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense professional Copa do Brasil soccer match originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Cruzeiro wins, Chapecoense wins, or the match ends in a tie—all resolving the respective markets to 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader sentiment and real-time adjustments. While sportsbooks may set their lines early based on analytics, prediction markets let participants react instantly to new information, potentially creating sharper or more volatile prices. Traders should compare both to spot discrepancies, but remember that this market reflects the collective wisdom of Kalshi users rather than a single bookmaker's view.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through their buy and sell orders, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The top chance displayed reflects the best available odds from active market participants. Volume of $118,614 shows overall interest, while price movements react to trading activity, news, and shifts in sentiment as the event unfolds. This decentralized pricing captures how Kalshi participants collectively evaluate the teams' prospects.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning side is determined by the official full-time result of the Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense game, specifically which team is declared the victor after regulation time. No extra time or penalty shootouts count for settlement — only the standing at the end of regular play matters.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant form swings leading up to the match could all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Weather conditions on the day of the game, disciplinary actions such as suspensions, and even early pre-match betting trends on Kalshi can create volatility. As the event draws closer, any news impacting either team's perceived chances may cause rapid price adjustments among participants.