TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Cruzeiro EC and SC Corinthians Paulista scheduled for February 25, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether Cruzeiro wins, whether Corinthians wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how cancellation (with no makeup game) resolves. Polymarket explicitly resolves Cruzeiro Win and Corinthians Win to No, but Draw to Yes. Kalshi does not address cancellation and only describes resolution for matches that occur.Hero Tip:
Before February 25, 2026, confirm with both platforms their exact cancellation protocol. If the match is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket's draw market to pay out while win markets do not. Kalshi's resolution path is undefined in this scenario. Postponements (rescheduled games) are handled consistently: both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match completes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Cruzeiro Win (Yes if Cruzeiro wins, No otherwise or if canceled); Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup); Corinthians Win (Yes if Corinthians wins, No otherwise or if canceled). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw market).Kalshi:
Three conditional markets: all resolve to Yes if the match occurs and that outcome is achieved (Cruzeiro win, Corinthians win, or Tie). Kalshi's terms do not explicitly address cancellation or postponement. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... If Cruzeiro wins... If Corinthians wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.