TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC
Volume:
$178,299
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Cruzeiro EC and Santos FC scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi's three-outcome structure does not address cancellation for the tie outcome. This creates ambiguity only in the rare cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
For typical match scenarios, all platforms resolve identically on 90+stoppage time. The divergence only matters if the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduling. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation protocol with the platform before the event date to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Santos win YES/NO, Cruzeiro win YES/NO, and Draw YES/NO. Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".'
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes (Cruzeiro win, Tie, Santos win) each resolve YES if their condition is met after 90+stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause stated for the tie outcome. Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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