TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória
Volume:
$199,593
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Cruzeiro EC and EC Vitória scheduled for April 1, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: whether Cruzeiro wins, whether Vitória wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Vitória win, Draw, Cruzeiro win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across both platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, buying all three outcomes hedges to a guaranteed loss (three separate bets, only one wins). On Kalshi, buying all three outcomes guarantees a win regardless of result. This is a critical structural mismatch — verify your platform before placing orders.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Vitória win, Draw, or Cruzeiro win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has independent resolution logic: 'If EC Vitória wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Vitória market); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Draw market); 'If Cruzeiro EC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Cruzeiro market).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three markets that each resolve YES for different outcomes of the same match: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; 'If Vitoria wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; 'If Cruzeiro wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. This means all three Kalshi markets resolve YES simultaneously regardless of match result, contradicting the principle that only one outcome occurs per match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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