TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC score more goals than Botafogo FR in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Botafogo FR" if Botafogo FR score more goals than Cruzeiro EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC score more goals than Botafogo FR in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Botafogo FR" if Botafogo FR score more goals than Cruzeiro EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. In this market, the crowd-sourced pricing can shift rapidly as new information emerges or as bettors adjust their positions. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines more slowly and factor in margin, whereas prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating breaking news, team updates, or injury reports that might influence the second-half outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants trade shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief in that result. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, ensuring the market continuously reprices based on fresh information and shifting trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the second half of the Cruzeiro versus Botafogo match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official confirmation, ensuring all traders have access to the same verified information before payouts are processed.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff. During the match itself, early second-half goals, red cards, or momentum swings will drive sharp repricing as traders react to live action. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and substitution patterns can also influence trader conviction. Additionally, any official statements from either club or updates on player availability in the hours leading up to the second half may prompt significant market movement as participants adjust their positions.