TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR?

Volume:
$324,039

Over 0.5 goals scored

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 5:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,151
N/A
N/A
$4,994
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Botafogo FR O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Botafogo FR 1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81,515
N/A
N/A
$47,747
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,831
N/A
N/A
$31,760
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,691
N/A
N/A
$15,201
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,860
N/A
N/A
$7,742
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,079
N/A
N/A
$3,750
Settled
No
polymarket

Botafogo FR (-2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Botafogo FR (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cruzeiro EC O/U 0.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Botafogo FR O/U 1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This event group covers a Brazil Série A match between Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), total goals (full match and by half), team-specific goal totals, and both-teams-to-score propositions across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official CBF final score, 90-minute + stoppage-time scope, postponement handling, cancellation 50-50 split, and 2-hour official publication window with credible reporting fallback.Primary resolution logic: Official final score published by CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) at cbf.com.br

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based solely on the official final score as recognized by CBF and published on cbf.com.br
  • Scope includes first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded
  • Spread markets (e.g., Cruzeiro -1.5, Botafogo -2.5) resolve based on goal margin: Cruzeiro -1.5 resolves to Cruzeiro if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Botafogo
  • Total goals markets (O/U 0.5 through 5.5) resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams within the specified scope
  • Team-specific goal markets resolve based on that team's goals only, not combined totals
  • Both-Teams-to-Score markets resolve Yes only if each team scores at least 1 goal within the specified scope
  • First-half markets (1H) count only goals in first 45 minutes plus first-half stoppage time
  • Second-half markets (2H) count only goals in second 45 minutes plus second-half stoppage time
  • If official CBF statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game has been completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
  • Match Cancellation (No Make-up): If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split between Yes and No, or between both outcomes equally).
  • Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution follows the official final score as published by CBF for the portion played.
  • Official Publication Delay: If CBF does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead.
  • Post-Resolution Score Revision: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. Markets settle on the score as officially declared at time of resolution.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official CBF statistics must be published or credible reporting consensus established within 2 hours of match conclusion for immediate settlement. Markets remain open if match is postponed until rescheduled match completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for July 26 at 3:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

Resolution counts all goals scored by both teams combined during the full match duration of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each market outcome resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed its specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). For example, a match ending 2-1 would count as 3 total goals, resolving Yes for thresholds of 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5, and No for thresholds of 3.5 and above.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Cruzeiro vs. Botafogo match, letting traders monitor real-time odds and volume across multiple venues. You can track how each platform prices different outcomes—from goal totals to match results—and compare consensus views as the event approaches. The cross-platform view reveals which outcomes attract the most trading interest and how conviction shifts as new information emerges. This transparency helps you spot pricing gaps and understand where the broader prediction market community stands on this fixture.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges from conventional betting wisdom, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about the match outcome.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side often precedes broader price movement. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports coverage can amplify volatility, especially if unexpected developments emerge. Late-breaking tactical announcements or injury updates typically trigger the sharpest repricing. Monitoring both teams' official channels and reputable sports journalists helps you stay ahead of market-moving information before this market settles.