TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders betting real money on outcomes they believe will occur. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information more efficiently over time, though sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. For exact-score markets, sportsbooks often offer tighter odds on common outcomes, whereas prediction markets can show wider ranges reflecting genuine uncertainty among participants about less-likely scorelines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities for each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative conviction of all traders holding positions in that score. As traders buy or sell a particular scoreline, its price adjusts instantly, and the probabilities across all outcomes sum to 100 percent. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader sentiment throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Cruzeiro versus Botafogo match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is the exact scoreline that matches the official result recorded by the competition organizer. Traders holding positions on the correct final score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending confirmation of the official score.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—can shift odds significantly for specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head records, and betting patterns from professional sportsbooks often influence prediction market prices as well. Weather conditions and venue factors may alter expected goal-scoring rates. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments such as unexpected absences or referee assignments can trigger repricing. During the match itself, live score updates and momentum swings will drive continuous trading and price adjustments until the final whistle.