TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR?

Volume:
$1,207,221

Botafogo

 - Kalshi

Botafogo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 5:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Botafogo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$297,564
N/A
N/A
$168,937
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Botafogo FR

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$103,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cruzeiro EC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$521,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cruzeiro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$171,594
N/A
N/A
$108,813
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$89,888
N/A
N/A
$68,478
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Brazilian Série A soccer match between Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR scheduled for July 26, 2026. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a leading probability of 100.0% for Botafogo FR to win, with Cruzeiro EC at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the official result on the CBF website. Watch the match result on July 26, 2026, to see which team secures the victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic (Draw resolves YES on cancellation; Win markets resolve NO). Kalshi uses a single three-outcome market without explicit cancellation guidance, creating scope and edge-case divergence.Hero tip: On Polymarket, the Draw market has embedded optionality: if the game is canceled, you win automatically. On Kalshi, clarify cancellation handling before trading. Both platforms agree on the core resolution source (CBF official statistics) and the 90+stoppage time window, so the primary outcome logic is unified.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Cruzeiro Win, Draw, Botafogo Win). Cancellation with no makeup: Win markets resolve NO; Draw market resolves YES. Resolution source: CBF official statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market (Cruzeiro Win / Botafogo Win / Tie). No explicit cancellation clause in provided source data. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties. Implicit resolution source: official match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, July 26, 2026 between Cruzeiro EC and Botafogo FR.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Cruzeiro vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each possible outcome—Cruzeiro victory, Botafogo victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates real-time odds for the Cruzeiro vs. Botafogo match across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor how traders price the outcome on each venue. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, recent volume activity, and historical price movements so you can spot shifts in market sentiment before kickoff. By tracking both platforms side-by-side, you gain insight into where smart money is flowing and whether consensus is forming or fragmenting across the prediction market ecosystem.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market often reflects sharper, more dynamic pricing because traders profit directly from accuracy rather than volume. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market liquidity and sportsbook promotional offers should both factor into your decision-making.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can shift odds significantly in the days before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings often influence trader positioning as the match approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking team news also trigger repricing. Major betting syndicates entering or exiting positions can create visible volume spikes and price momentum. Monitoring social media, official team communications, and sports news outlets helps you stay ahead of market moves and identify when consensus is shifting.