TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - First Team to Score

Volume:
$1,357

Neither

 - Polymarket

Neither - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 10:36 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cruzeiro EC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chapecoense SC

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

CR Vasco da Gama RJ

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group tracks the first team to score in the upcoming match between Cruzeiro EC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol. The markets resolve based on whether Cruzeiro EC, Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, or neither team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently resolve based on the first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. Neither outcome is affected by post-event score revisions.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to the team that scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Resolve to "Neither" if no team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs from consideration

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Market resolves to "Neither" if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game
  • Delayed Statistics: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, use a consensus of credible reporting
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published, or within 2 hours of conclusion if using credible reportingOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Cruzeiro EC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The event determines which team scores the first goal in the Chapecoense SC versus CR Vasco da Gama RJ professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for July 30, 2026. If Chapecoense SC scores the first goal at any point during regulation time, stoppage time, or extra time, that market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if CR Vasco da Gama RJ scores the first goal under the same conditions, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team scores during the entire match, the 'No Goal' market resolves to Yes. In the specific case of an own goal, resolution follows the team to which the goal is officially awarded. All outcomes consider the full match duration without excluding any potential scoring periods.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because each platform attracts different user bases and liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue may have deeper volume behind a particular outcome, pushing its price toward a more refined assessment, while the other could reflect broader but shallower sentiment. Differences in trading volume — $1,357 versus $1,159 over 24 hours — also affect how quickly new information is priced in, leading to temporary mismatches between the two markets.

Injuries, lineup changes, or weather updates can shift this market as they affect scoring probabilities. Key moments like recent form, head-to-head performance, or tactical adjustments may also cause traders to re-evaluate chances. Any last-minute news released on Polymarket or Kalshi — especially around starting lineups — could produce rapid price swings, so monitoring pre-match announcements and in-game developments is essential for spotting movement.