TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 1:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the winner of the Cruz Azul vs Atlante professional Liga MX soccer match. On Kalshi, the current probability that the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is 91.0%, with Cruz Azul or Atlante winning at 8.0%. The market resolves based on the official match result. The decisive signal to watch will be the match result on August 1, 2026, which will determine the settlement.
The event consists of three mutually exclusive markets resolving based on the result of the Cruz Azul versus Atlante professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026. The 'Cruz Azul' market resolves to Yes if Cruz Azul wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The 'Atlante' market resolves to Yes if Atlante achieves the same winning condition. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes if the game concludes with an equal score after the same duration. If the match ends in a tie, only the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extended play or penalties.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique participant dynamics and the ability to trade continuous price points. Traders may assign different probabilities based on factors like recent team performance and player injuries, which can cause divergence from sportsbook odds. The volume of $5,875,823 shows trader interest, but keep in mind that prediction market prices can shift more rapidly with new information compared to sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match score after 90 minutes of play, and any confirmed post-match adjustments will be reflected at that time.
Several key developments could impact this market before Aug 2, 2026. Injuries to star players, coaching changes, or disciplinary actions may shift trader expectations. High-stakes matches involving either team can also influence odds, as can weather conditions affecting the game venue. Media reports about team morale or transfer rumors might sway sentiment, especially with the volume at $5,676,683. Any incident that changes the perceived likelihood of a win, draw, or loss will likely move this market as traders react in real time.