TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on predicting the exact outcome of a professional soccer match between Crotone and Cosenza after the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends solely on whether Crotone, Cosenza, or neither team (a tie) secures the victory within regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Crotone vs Cosenza professional Coppa Italia Lega Pro soccer match originally scheduled for August 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Crotone, a win for Cosenza, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results and do not account for any post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty kicks.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets reflect real-time participant sentiment and can shift more dynamically. Traders may see divergences based on insider news, betting patterns, or broader economic factors influencing this market, making it a complementary view to conventional sports betting odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity indicated by trading volume. As match analysis, team news, or fan sentiment shifts, participants adjust their positions, causing the market price to fluctuate until resolution. This decentralized pricing captures crowd-sourced expectations rather than institutional forecasts.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalties. Once official match reports are published, the platform will finalize the market based on the confirmed winner or draw, closing all positions accordingly.
Injuries, weather updates, or tactical changes announced by coaches can shift expectations and move this market. Key moments like recent form, head-to-head statistics, or even broader league standings may influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any news affecting team morale or lineup decisions could cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting updated probabilities for each possible outcome in the closing days.