TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Croatia vs. Ghana - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Croatia vs. Ghana - First Team to Score

Volume:
$155,167

Croatia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 6:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Croatia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$58,354
N/A
N/A
$39,444
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Croatia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,400
N/A
N/A
$21,346
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ghana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,736
N/A
N/A
$21,008
Settled
No
polymarket

Ghana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the first team to score in the Croatia vs. Ghana FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026. Markets track whether Croatia, Ghana, or neither team scores first, with resolution depending on the time window considered (regulation + stoppage time only, or including extra time).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope mismatch between platforms. Kalshi includes extra time and penalty shootouts in resolution scope, while Polymarket explicitly limits resolution to regulation time plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time.Hero tip: If Croatia vs. Ghana reaches extra time, Kalshi and Polymarket will produce different outcomes for goals scored after the 90+stoppage window closes. Verify which time window matches your trading thesis before committing capital. Polymarket's narrower window (regulation + stoppage only) is more conservative; Kalshi's broader window (full match including extra time) carries higher volatility risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if either Ghana or Croatia records the first goal during the entire game including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Also resolves YES if no team scores at all. Key Quote: 'during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)'
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Croatia, Ghana, or Neither based on first goal within first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution. Key Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Croatia and Ghana, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ghana" if Ghana are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which team records the first goal during the entire Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal is an own goal, the market resolves based on the team awarded the goal. A separate market resolves to Yes if no goal is scored throughout the entire match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a sportsbook. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices reflecting aggregate belief rather than a bookmaker's margin. This often produces tighter, more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks, especially as match time approaches and new information surfaces. However, liquidity and trading volume can vary, affecting how quickly prices adjust.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites, leading to natural price variation. Kalshi and Polymarket also operate under distinct regulatory frameworks and contract specifications, which can influence how traders interpret and price the same event. Arbitrage opportunities between the two platforms may persist until traders exploit the spread, gradually aligning prices toward consensus.

Team news—injuries to key forwards, goalkeeper availability, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice this market. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head scoring patterns influence trader positioning. Live match conditions, including early possession dominance, corner kicks, and near-misses, will drive sharp price movement once play begins. Weather, pitch conditions, and referee assignments may also subtly shift expectations about early scoring likelihood.