TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 27, 2026, where the outcome after the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time is assessed.
The first half winner is determined by which team scores more goals after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If both teams have scored an equal number of goals at the end of the first half, the result is a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Croatia vs Ghana first-half winner market is priced through a continuous limit-order book where traders submit bids and asks for each outcome. The mid-market price reflects the consensus of all active traders at any moment. Prices move as new information emerges—team news, injury updates, or betting patterns—and traders adjust their positions accordingly. The tighter the bid-ask spread, the more liquid and efficient the market pricing.
Key catalysts for price movement include confirmed team lineups and starting XI announcements, which reveal tactical intent and player availability. Injury reports or late withdrawals can shift expectations significantly. Pre-match media coverage, betting syndicate activity, and social sentiment may also influence trader positioning. On match day, early kickoff conditions—weather, pitch state, referee assignments—and opening minutes of play will drive final repricing as traders react to live action and early momentum.