TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the first-half result of the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026. Bettors select the exact score they expect at the end of the first 45 minutes of play.
The market resolves based on the official first-half score of the Croatia vs Ghana professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 27, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific first-half scoreline, with resolution occurring when the first half concludes. The available outcomes encompass scorelines ranging from 0-0 draws to Croatia leading 3-1 or Ghana leading 2-0, covering all plausible first-half results up to three goals for Croatia and two goals for Ghana. Resolution is determined by the final score displayed at the end of the first 45 minutes of the match as recorded by official FIFA World Cup records.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader supply and demand. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster to breaking news or injury reports. For this match, comparing the implied probabilities on Kalshi to pregame sportsbook lines can reveal where informed traders see value or disagreement about likely first-half outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each possible first-half correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as new trades execute, reflecting the collective belief of active participants. Each scoreline outcome is treated as a separate contract, so traders can isolate their view on specific halftime results rather than betting on a single binary outcome. Liquidity and spreads vary by outcome popularity, with more heavily traded scores typically showing tighter bid-ask gaps.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the Croatia vs Ghana first-half is complete and the final halftime scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources covering the match, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Positions held through resolution will settle based on whether the actual first-half score matches the outcome selected. Traders should monitor official match reporting and live coverage to track the event as it unfolds.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the first half. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history may influence trader confidence in scoring patterns. Once the match begins, early goals, red cards, or missed chances can cause sharp price swings as traders update their halftime score expectations. Close monitoring of pregame press conferences and live match commentary helps traders stay ahead of sentiment changes.