TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Croatia will defeat Ghana in their FIFA World Cup soccer match on Kalshi. Croatia is priced at 83.0% to win the game, while Ghana holds 15.0% probability. The market resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties, as determined by official FIFA World Cup records. Watch for the match kickoff on June 27, 2026, which will determine the final resolution.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). One market resolves to Yes if Croatia wins, another if Ghana wins, and a third if the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders wagering their own capital, whereas traditional sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and protect their margin. Prediction markets often price outcomes more efficiently because traders profit directly from accuracy, creating strong incentives to incorporate all available information. Sportsbooks, by contrast, may lag behind breaking news or shift odds to manage liability rather than reflect true probability. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal which side the market favors and whether sharp money is moving in a particular direction before the match.
The Croatia vs Ghana market resolves on Jun 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match between the two teams. The market will settle based on which team wins the game, with all contracts paying out according to the final outcome. Traders should monitor official match announcements and any schedule changes leading up to the event, as delays or postponements could affect the resolution timeline. Once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market will settle automatically.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift market odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and performance in qualifying rounds all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions at the venue and home-field advantage may also factor into pricing. Major news cycles—such as coaching changes, disciplinary suspensions, or geopolitical developments—can trigger rapid repricing. Trading volume spikes often precede significant moves, so monitoring activity on Kalshi can signal when new information is being digested by the market. Close attention to team statements and official communications in the days before the match will help you stay ahead of price movements.