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Polymarket:

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VS.

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Croatia vs. England
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Croatia vs. England?

Volume:
$5,804,575

England

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 2:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

England

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,671,986
N/A
N/A
$1,479,517
Settled
Yes
polymarket

England

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,459,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ENG

View
99%
45%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$25,158
$285,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

HRV

View
1%
22%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$151
$69,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Croatia

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$645,730
N/A
N/A
$480,709
Settled
No
polymarket

Croatia

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$246,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
23%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$108
$29,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$262,501
N/A
N/A
$186,849
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Croatia vs. England)

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$132,176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether England will win their UEFA Nations League match against Croatia. Currently, the aggregated probability of England winning on October 3, 2026 is 99.7%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Traders should watch the match itself on October 3, 2026 to see if England secures a victory within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the 90-minute result, with similar fallback procedures for data availability and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled without a reschedule, 'Yes' markets resolve to 'No' and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be considered.
  • No Data Within 24 Hours: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours from the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Croatia and England.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Croatia vs England UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified condition (Croatia win, England win, or Tie) matches the actual game result. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the UEFA or governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Croatia and England.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Croatia vs. England match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, currently showing a combined volume of $5,804,575 and 24-hour volume of $5,585,084. This allows users to see how different platforms are pricing the same event and understand the collective wisdom of the crowd. The dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes, giving a comprehensive overview of expectations for this highly anticipated sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their beliefs, creating a more dynamic and potentially accurate reflection of true probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Furthermore, prediction markets often have lower transaction costs than sportsbooks, attracting more informed bettors and potentially leading to more efficient price discovery.