TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Criollos de Caguas vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Criollos de Caguas vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce?

Volume:
$13,594

Criollos de Caguas

 - Kalshi

Criollos de Caguas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 11:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Criollos de Caguas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,114
N/A
N/A
$4,483
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Criollos de Caguas vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cangrejeros de Santurce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,499
N/A
N/A
$4,197
Settled
No
polymarket

Criollos de Caguas (-7.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 200.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a professional BSN (Baloncesto Superior Nacional) Puerto Rico basketball game between Criollos de Caguas and Cangrejeros de Santurce scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both possible outcomes (Criollos win and Cangrejeros win) are mapped to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable as a binary. Polymarket uses categorical resolution (team names), which is coherent but incompatible with Kalshi's stated Yes/No framework.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the resolution logic is corrected. The current Kalshi specification would resolve to Yes regardless of outcome, which violates basic binary market principles. Polymarket's market is resolvable as stated. Confirm with Kalshi whether this is a template error or intentional.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both Criollos win and Cangrejeros win outcomes resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction in a binary market structure. Quote: 'If Criollos de Caguas wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cangrejeros de Santurce wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Criollos win resolves to 'Criollos de Caguas', Cangrejeros win resolves to 'Cangrejeros de Santurce'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Criollos de Caguas win, the market will resolve to Criollos de Caguas. If the Cangrejeros de Santurce win, the market will resolve to Cangrejeros de Santurce.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming BSN game, scheduled for July 10 at 8:00PM ET: If the Criollos de Caguas win, the market will resolve to "Criollos de Caguas". If the Cangrejeros de Santurce win, the market will resolve to "Cangrejeros de Santurce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which team wins the Cangrejeros de Santurce vs Criollos de Caguas professional BSN Puerto Rico basketball game originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Criollos vs. Cangrejeros matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues for sports event forecasting. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with combined volume reflecting real-time conviction about which team will prevail. The cross-platform view lets you compare how different market participants assess the game, revealing consensus strength or divergence in expectations. This aggregated perspective helps you spot where smart money is concentrating and whether one venue is pricing the event differently than the other.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on traders bidding against each other to discover true probability. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Prediction market prices tend to be more efficient at incorporating public information, though they can diverge from sportsbook odds during periods of heavy trading or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most sharply.

Key player injuries, roster changes, or team announcements could shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent performance trends, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage assessments often drive repricing as the event approaches. Weather conditions, travel schedules, or other logistical factors may also influence how traders evaluate each team's chances. Media coverage and expert commentary can sway the crowd, especially if new analysis highlights overlooked strengths or weaknesses. As the matchup date draws closer, any breaking news about team form, coaching decisions, or competitive context will likely trigger sharp price moves on both platforms.