TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:48 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Criciuma and Avai. It evaluates various thresholds of goal counts to determine the outcome. The focus is solely on goals scored during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of six markets, each corresponding to a different threshold of total goals scored in the Criciuma vs Avai professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with explicit exclusion of goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of a specific outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential goal total in the Criciuma vs Avai match. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, leading to efficient price discovery.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Criciuma vs Avai match will be used to determine the winning contract. This includes any goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The final result will be sourced from official match data and will be used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Criciuma or Avai would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact expectations for a high-scoring game. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before kickoff could also shift the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan discussions, could also influence trading activity and the price of contracts.