TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Criciuma and Avai. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, reflecting the competitive balance and expected performance of both teams in the match.
The event determines whether either team wins the Criciuma vs Avai professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game by a specified goal margin. The match must conclude after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time or penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. If Criciuma wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves positively for that outcome. Similarly, if Avai wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves positively. The resolving entity explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome of the Criciuma vs Avai match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. It is common to see differences in implied probabilities between the two, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay or receive for a contract tied to a specific result in the Criciuma vs Avai match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Criciuma vs Avai match, specifically the actual spread achieved, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Criciuma or Avai would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or key personnel decisions could also shift the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.