TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC score more goals than Vila Nova FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vila Nova FC" if Vila Nova FC score more goals than Criciúma EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC score more goals than Vila Nova FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vila Nova FC" if Vila Nova FC score more goals than Criciúma EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. This market aggregates the views of many independent forecasters rather than a single bookmaker, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on the second-half result differs from traditional betting markets.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective assessment of all participants: higher prices indicate stronger confidence in that result, while lower prices suggest skepticism. As new information emerges—team news, early first-half performance, injury updates—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most current expectations for the second-half outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the final score and result for that period. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Mark your calendar to ensure you close or adjust your position before the resolution deadline if you wish to exit early.
Several factors may shift prices in this market before Jul 18, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can alter expectations for either side's second-half performance. Early first-half momentum, scoreline, and tactical adjustments will influence how traders view the second-half outlook. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and any red cards or injuries during the first half may also trigger repricing. Social media sentiment, expert commentary, and betting syndicates entering the market can amplify these moves, so monitor developments closely.