TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vila Nova FC" if Vila Nova FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vila Nova FC" if Vila Nova FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and financial risk. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure to accuracy. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional proprietary data or sharp action that prediction markets haven't yet priced in, making direct comparison useful for identifying value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) model where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—whether Criciúma EC, Vila Nova FC, or neither team scores first—adjusts dynamically based on the ratio of shares in the pool and cumulative trading volume. As traders accumulate positions, prices shift to reflect the changing probability consensus, with the AMM mechanism ensuring continuous liquidity and transparent, real-time pricing throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the Criciúma EC versus Vila Nova FC match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team, if any, scores the opening goal. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of final whistle, contingent on confirmation from official match records and sports data providers.
Key catalysts that could shift odds in this market include team news such as injuries to key forwards or defensive players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends heading into the fixture. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage dynamics, and historical head-to-head scoring patterns also influence trader positioning. Late-breaking tactical changes, betting syndicate activity, or sharp money entering the market can trigger rapid repricing. As kickoff approaches, any official confirmation of starting lineups or surprise team news typically generates the most volatile price swings.