TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Criciúma EC vs. Vila Nova FC match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Criciúma EC vs. Vila Nova FC match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this match, comparing the implied probability from this market to the moneyline or spread offered by major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd's consensus differs from bookmaker pricing, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts in how the match is perceived.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for each exact-score outcome by buying and selling shares, with the price of each share reflecting the crowd's estimated probability of that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong market conviction, but prices adjust continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move, so periods of high activity can produce sharper shifts in the odds for different scorelines.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. Whichever exact-score option matches the official final result will be deemed correct, and all shares in that outcome will be worth the full payout while all other outcomes expire worthless.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter the probability of specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates closer to kickoff may also trigger repricing. As the match approaches, any official announcements or social-media signals from either club can shift sentiment and cause sharp moves in the odds for favored versus underdog scorelines.