TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Criciúma EC vs. Vila Nova FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Criciúma EC vs. Vila Nova FC?

Volume:
$347,581

Criciúma EC

 - Polymarket

Criciúma EC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Criciúma EC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$139,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Criciuma

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101,803
N/A
N/A
$74,207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vila Nova

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,075
N/A
N/A
$37,322
Settled
No
polymarket

Vila Nova FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,359
N/A
N/A
$24,882
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Criciúma EC vs. Vila Nova FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Brazilian Serie B soccer match between Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC scheduled for July 18, 2026. Three markets track the possible outcomes: Criciúma win, Vila Nova win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory—it lists three mutually exclusive soccer outcomes (Criciúma win, Vila Nova win, tie) but states each resolves to Yes, making simultaneous resolution impossible. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with coherent resolution logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The market description violates basic logic: a soccer match cannot simultaneously end in a Criciúma win, a Vila Nova win, and a tie. Request clarification from Kalshi whether this is a data entry error, a three-leg parlay, or three separate markets. Polymarket's three independent binary markets are the safe, resolvable reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Criciúma Win, Draw, Vila Nova Win). Each resolves Yes/No based on official CBF statistics. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Criciúma and Vila Nova to No, Draw to Yes. Key quote: 'If Criciúma EC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, each stated as 'then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates logical impossibility since only one outcome can occur. Key quote: 'If Criciuma wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Vila Nova wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 between Criciúma EC and Vila Nova FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Criciuma and Vila Nova originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each outcome—Criciuma win, Vila Nova win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with applicable rules.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates prediction market data on the Criciúma vs. Vila Nova match across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time odds and trading volume as the event approaches. The dashboard displays how traders across both venues are pricing the outcome, giving you a cross-platform consensus view of market sentiment. You can track shifts in implied probabilities, compare how each platform weights the possibilities, and see which outcome is currently favored. This unified tracking helps you spot divergences between venues and understand where the broader prediction market community stands on this fixture.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus—what participants collectively believe will happen. Prediction markets often react faster to new information and can reveal sharper probability estimates because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity in some cases. Comparing this market across both venues can help you identify which platform's odds align most closely with your own assessment of the match.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions—typically shifts odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings often influence trader positioning as the match draws closer. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute roster updates can trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage and expert commentary may also sway sentiment, especially if new tactical insights or injury developments emerge. Trading volume often spikes in the final hours before kickoff as traders finalize positions. Monitoring these catalysts across both platforms helps you anticipate and react to market movements.