TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and São Bernardo FC, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC score more goals than São Bernardo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Criciúma EC and São Bernardo FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Bernardo FC" if São Bernardo FC score more goals than Criciúma EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and São Bernardo FC, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC score more goals than São Bernardo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Criciúma EC and São Bernardo FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Bernardo FC" if São Bernardo FC score more goals than Criciúma EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating margins that favor the house. Prediction markets like this one reflect pure trader sentiment and information aggregation, where participants stake real capital on outcomes they believe will occur. While sportsbooks may lag in adjusting to breaking news, prediction markets typically respond faster to new information. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling pressure directly influences the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market reflects strong conviction toward one outcome, with pricing updated in real time as new trades execute. Each share represents a claim on the event's result, and the price you see represents the marginal probability that traders are currently willing to accept. Liquidity and trading volume affect how easily prices move, with deeper order books allowing larger trades with minimal slippage.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the second half of the Criciúma versus São Bernardo match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half period. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on when the match officially ends and the result is confirmed through standard sports reporting channels.
Several factors could shift trader positions before Jun 27, 2026. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff may alter expectations. Early first-half performance provides crucial information about momentum and form, influencing second-half forecasts. Unexpected weather conditions or referee decisions during the match could reshape perceived probabilities. Additionally, real-time goal scoring in the first half directly impacts second-half dynamics, as trailing teams may adopt aggressive strategies while leaders play defensively, creating new trading opportunities as the match unfolds.