TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and SC Recife, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC score more goals than SC Recife in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Criciúma EC and SC Recife score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Recife" if SC Recife score more goals than Criciúma EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and SC Recife, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC score more goals than SC Recife in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Criciúma EC and SC Recife score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Recife" if SC Recife score more goals than Criciúma EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this match, comparing the implied probability on this market to what major sportsbooks offer can reveal whether one venue perceives the second-half result differently. Savvy bettors use both sources to identify value and spot potential mispricings.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trades of all participants, with the platform's liquidity pool adjusting prices as volume flows in. This mechanism means the odds you see represent the real-time consensus of the trading community, updated continuously as new information or sentiment emerges about the second-half result.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Criciúma versus Recife match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect what actually occurred during the second half of play—whether Criciúma won, Recife won, or the half ended in a draw. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that alter perceived second-half dynamics. Pre-match analysis from respected football commentators and betting syndicates can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and first-half momentum may also influence how traders reassess the likelihood of each outcome. Real-time updates during the first half—such as early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments—will likely trigger sharp repricing as new information becomes available.