TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Criciúma EC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Criciúma EC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC?

Volume:
$1,342,222

Ferroviario

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 8:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ferroviario

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$630,760
N/A
N/A
$231,907
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Operário Ferroviário EC

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$65,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Criciuma

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329,729
N/A
N/A
$164,090
Settled
No
polymarket

Criciúma EC

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$255,999
N/A
N/A
$139,639
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Criciúma EC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC)

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Criciúma EC and Operário Ferroviário EC on September 21, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Operário Ferroviário EC winning is 100.0%, while Criciúma EC winning has a 0.1% probability, aggregating views from Polymarket and Kalshi. The official results from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b will determine resolution. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 21, 2026, as the final score will dictate the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No' for win/loss markets, while Kalshi does not mention cancellation handling.Hero tip: Consider the risk of cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may remain open or resolve based on a different interpretation than on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Monday, September 21, 2026 between Criciúma EC and Operário Ferroviário EC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Criciuma vs Ferroviario match scheduled for September 21, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Criciuma, a win for Ferroviario, or a tie. If the match ends in a draw at the conclusion of regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and information aggregation processes. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction markets allow individuals to express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts. The wisdom of the crowd effect can result in prediction markets identifying probabilities that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. This market, like others, can provide a valuable alternative perspective on the likely outcome of the Brazilian Série B match, and may reflect different information or analyses than those considered by sportsbooks.