TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Criciúma EC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Clube Náutico Capibaribe" if Clube Náutico Capibaribe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Criciúma EC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Clube Náutico Capibaribe" if Clube Náutico Capibaribe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether professional oddsmakers and crowd forecasters align on the likelihood of each outcome. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news, whereas sportsbooks adjust more cautiously to manage risk exposure.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares, with prices determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome represents a binary claim—either the team scores first or it does not—and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust dynamically, ensuring the market continuously reprices risk and opportunity.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on which team scores the first goal during regulation time. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout automatically, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Early resolution is possible if one team is mathematically eliminated before the final whistle, though standard practice awaits full-time confirmation.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can shift odds significantly, as can confirmed starting lineups closer to kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and referee assignments may also trigger repricing if they affect attacking or defensive capability. Breaking developments such as roster changes or tactical announcements typically spark volume spikes and rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the probability of an early goal.