TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Criciúma EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Criciúma EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe?

Volume:
$270,885

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 5:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,674
N/A
N/A
$46,405
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Criciúma EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Criciuma

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,265
N/A
N/A
$61,248
Settled
No
polymarket

Criciúma EC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nautico

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,380
N/A
N/A
$39,585
Settled
No
polymarket

Clube Náutico Capibaribe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Brazilian Serie B football match between Criciúma EC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe scheduled for July 26, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Criciúma win, draw, Náutico win) and Kalshi (three separate yes/no markets covering all possible outcomes). Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Polymarket draw market contains a non-standard cancellation rule that treats a canceled match with no make-up as a draw (YES resolution), while Kalshi's draw market only resolves YES on an actual tied result. This creates logical inconsistency in how the draw outcome is defined.Hero tip: Traders on the draw market should note the platform difference: Polymarket's draw market has embedded cancellation risk (resolves YES if game is canceled), while Kalshi's draw market only settles on an actual 90-minute tie. If cancellation is a material risk, Polymarket draw YES becomes a proxy for cancellation + actual draw, making it a different bet than Kalshi. Monitor CBF announcements for scheduling changes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Criciúma win, Draw, Náutico win). Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' This conflates cancellation with a draw outcome.
  • Kalshi: Three separate yes/no markets covering all outcomes (Criciúma win, Náutico win, Tie). Each resolves YES only if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No special cancellation clause provided; standard market suspension/void logic likely applies.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Sunday, July 26, 2026 between Criciúma EC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Criciuma vs Nautico professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each possible outcome—Criciuma victory, Nautico victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Criciúma vs. Capibaribe match, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on the match outcome. Both venues enable you to track how the market prices the result as new information emerges. The cross-platform view helps you spot consensus or divergence between venues, giving a fuller picture of where informed traders stand on this fixture. Total volume across both platforms reflects the combined interest in this event.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on crowd-sourced pricing, where traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes. This differs from traditional sportsbooks, which set fixed odds and manage risk through margins. Prediction market prices often reflect real-time sentiment and can shift rapidly as new developments occur. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines more slowly and include built-in profit margins. Many traders use prediction markets as a barometer of true probability precisely because the incentive structure rewards accurate forecasting rather than volume.