TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and Ceará SC, scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC score more goals than Ceará SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Criciúma EC and Ceará SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC score more goals than Criciúma EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Criciúma EC and Ceará SC, scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC score more goals than Ceará SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Criciúma EC and Ceará SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC score more goals than Criciúma EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on liability and betting patterns rather than pure probability, whereas this market aggregates the collective judgment of participants wagering their own capital. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the second-half outcome, sometimes highlighting value or consensus blind spots.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each possible outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the collective willingness of traders to buy or sell at that level. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or live match developments—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds. The spread between bid and ask prices narrows or widens based on liquidity and conviction, so tighter spreads often signal higher confidence in the market's pricing.
This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, once the Criciúma versus Ceará match concludes and the second-half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score and result recorded for the second half of the fixture. Resolution hinges on whether Criciúma wins, Ceará wins, or the teams draw during that period. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match reports to confirm the result before settlement is finalized.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day. During the first half, goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments will influence trader expectations for the second-half outcome. Late-breaking injury reports or surprise starting lineups often trigger sharp moves. Additionally, betting syndicate activity or sudden volume spikes can signal informed traders repositioning, prompting others to reassess their positions. Monitor official team communications and live match commentary for catalysts that reshape the probability of each outcome.