TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs (W)
Volume:
$39,351
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Creighton Bluejays and Butler Bulldogs scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a Butler win and a Creighton win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket presents a standard binary winner-take-all structure with clear edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the resolution criteria was a documentation error. Polymarket's market is resolvable and standard. If Kalshi intends a binary structure, the Yes/No mapping must be explicitly corrected to specify which team outcome corresponds to Yes and which to No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all resolution. Creighton victory resolves to Creighton Bluejays; Butler victory resolves to Butler Bulldogs. Postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Key Quote: If the Creighton Bluejays win, the market will resolve to Creighton Bluejays. If the Butler Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Butler Bulldogs.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution criteria. Both Butler win and Creighton win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible condition where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state. This violates basic binary logic and renders the market unresolvable as documented. Key Quote: If Butler wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Creighton wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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