TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs (W)

Volume:
$39,351

Creighton

 - Kalshi

Creighton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 19, 2026

Creighton at Butler Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Creighton

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3,512
$13,029
0%
0%
$12,483
N/A
polymarket

Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Butler

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$11,303
$26,258
0%
0%
$25,929
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Creighton Bluejays and Butler Bulldogs scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a Butler win and a Creighton win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket presents a standard binary winner-take-all structure with clear edge case handling.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the resolution criteria was a documentation error. Polymarket's market is resolvable and standard. If Kalshi intends a binary structure, the Yes/No mapping must be explicitly corrected to specify which team outcome corresponds to Yes and which to No.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all resolution. Creighton victory resolves to Creighton Bluejays; Butler victory resolves to Butler Bulldogs. Postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Key Quote: If the Creighton Bluejays win, the market will resolve to Creighton Bluejays. If the Butler Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Butler Bulldogs.
  • Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution criteria. Both Butler win and Creighton win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible condition where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state. This violates basic binary logic and renders the market unresolvable as documented. Key Quote: If Butler wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Creighton wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.