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Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs
polymarket
kalshi

Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs

Volume:
$217,043

Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs

 - Polymarket

Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Creighton wins by over 3.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,944
N/A
N/A
$5,919
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Creighton wins by over 1.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,517
N/A
N/A
$4,978
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Creighton wins by over 12.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,746
N/A
N/A
$4,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Creighton wins by over 9.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,095
N/A
N/A
$3,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Creighton wins by over 6.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Butler wins by over 3.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,816
N/A
N/A
$102,305
Settled
No
kalshi

Butler wins by over 6.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,424
N/A
N/A
$19,063
Settled
No
kalshi

Butler wins by over 18.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,752
N/A
N/A
$1,649
Settled
No
kalshi

Butler wins by over 12.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,250
N/A
N/A
$909
Settled
No
kalshi

Butler wins by over 15.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,884
N/A
N/A
$434
Settled
No
kalshi

Butler wins by over 9.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,425
N/A
N/A
$1,116
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 155.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Creighton Bluejays and Butler Bulldogs scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under totals at multiple thresholds (154.5 and 155.5), spread betting, and point-differential outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: final official score including overtime, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50, and NCAA records serve as the authoritative source.Primary resolution logic: NCAA official final game score and box score (https://www.ncaa.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline: Creighton wins if final score is higher; Butler wins if final score is higher
  • Over/Under 154.5: Over if combined score >= 155 points; Under if combined score < 155 points
  • Over/Under 155.5: Over if combined score >= 156 points; Under if combined score < 156 points
  • Spread Butler -2.5: Butler wins if they win by 3+ points; Creighton wins otherwise (includes ties and 1-2 point Butler wins)
  • Point Differential Markets (Kalshi): Resolve Yes if the specified margin condition is met (e.g., Creighton +1.5, +3.5, +6.5, +9.5, +12.5 or Butler +3.5, +6.5, +9.5, +12.5, +15.5, +18.5)
  • All results determined from final score including any overtime periods
  • Postponement: Markets remain open until game is completed
  • Cancellation without makeup: All markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Overtime: All markets resolve using the final score after all overtime periods are complete. No special treatment; overtime points count toward totals and margins.
  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is actually played and completed.
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (or No for Kalshi binary markets).
  • Spread push scenario: For Butler -2.5 spread: if Butler wins by exactly 2 points or fewer, or if Creighton wins by any margin, the market resolves to Creighton.
  • Total tie scenario: For Over/Under markets: if combined score equals exactly the threshold (154.5 or 155.5), the Under resolves (e.g., 155 points total = Under on 155.5 line).
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the final official score is recorded by NCAA and published. For postponed games, resolution is deferred until the makeup game is completed. Cancellations without makeup are resolved within 24 hours of official cancellation announcement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.