TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 12:02 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CR Vasco da Gama and Mirassol FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama score more goals than Mirassol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CR Vasco da Gama and Mirassol FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC score more goals than CR Vasco da Gama in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CR Vasco da Gama and Mirassol FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama score more goals than Mirassol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CR Vasco da Gama and Mirassol FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC score more goals than CR Vasco da Gama in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this match, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the crowd expects an edge in the second half that bookmakers have priced differently. Both sources offer valuable signals, but they operate under distinct mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative bets placed on each outcome, with larger positions moving the odds more sharply. As traders buy or sell shares, the contract price adjusts dynamically, allowing you to enter or exit at any time before resolution. This continuous pricing mechanism encourages active participation and rapid response to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during that 45-minute period. No further conditions apply—only the final second-half scoreline matters. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing traders to settle their positions promptly.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff. Early match momentum—goals, red cards, or dominant possession in the first half—often reshapes expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form trends can also shift trader positioning. As the match progresses and the first half unfolds, live information will flow into the market, causing price swings that reflect updated probabilities for the second-half result.