TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the exact final score of a Brazil Série A match between CR Vasco da Gama and Mirassol FC scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers 18 binary markets on specific scorelines plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi provides 6 over/under markets on goal totals for each team. Both platforms measure the result at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CR Vasco da Gama and Mirassol FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
These markets measure individual team goal production in the Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each team has separate markets for exceeding 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team records above the stated goal threshold. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal. Resolution is based on official match statistics.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate on distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation and capital allocation. Because prediction markets reward accuracy directly, they often reflect genuine crowd belief more transparently than sportsbooks, which may shade lines for risk management. For exact-score markets especially, the granularity of outcomes means prediction markets can surface consensus on niche scorelines that traditional books may not offer or may price less competitively.
Polymarket and Kalshi may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with different risk tolerances and information sets, so the same event can reflect slightly different consensus prices across venues. Additionally, order-book dynamics and the timing of large trades can create temporary spreads. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify arbitrage opportunities or confirm whether price divergence reflects genuine disagreement or simply market microstructure noise.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, especially if a key striker or defender is unavailable. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader sentiment. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move markets in the hours before kickoff, so watch for late volume spikes or sudden price shifts as a signal of informed positioning. Public injury announcements or official team sheets typically trigger the sharpest repricing, so monitoring official club channels and sports news feeds is essential for staying ahead of market moves.