TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 10:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers a CONMEBOL Sudamericana match between CR Vasco da Gama and Independiente Medellín scheduled for July 29, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: Vasco da Gama win, draw, and Medellín win, plus a both-teams-to-score market. The core resolution hinges on the official final result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 29, 2026 between CR Vasco da Gama and Independiente Medellín.
If Ind. Medellin and Vasco da Gama both score a goal in the Ind. Medellin vs Vasco da Gama CONMEBOL Sudamericana match originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which often produces tighter spreads and faster price discovery than conventional bookmakers. Sportsbooks build in vig (commission), whereas prediction markets reward accurate forecasting with direct payouts. This structural difference means prediction market odds can sometimes diverge meaningfully from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff.
Key catalysts include injury announcements affecting either squad's starting lineup, managerial statements about tactical approach, recent form trends, and head-to-head historical records. Weather conditions at match time and any late team news released on game day can trigger sharp price swings. Traders also watch for betting syndicate activity and social sentiment shifts on prediction platforms themselves, as large position changes often precede broader market repricing. Monitor official team channels and sports news outlets for updates.