TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazil Série A match between CR Vasco da Gama and Grêmio FBPA scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), point spreads for both teams, both teams to score, and combined goal totals. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official CBF final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50 split), and incomplete matches (official CBF score or credible consensus).
Primary resolution logic:
Official CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) final match statistics published on cbf.com.brCore resolution logic:
- All markets resolve based on the official final score published by CBF on cbf.com.br
- Only goals scored during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5): resolve to Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 2.5 resolves Over at 3+ goals)
- Spread markets (Grêmio -1.5, Grêmio -2.5, Vasco -1.5, Vasco -2.5): resolve to the named team if they win by the specified margin or greater; otherwise resolve to the opponent
- Both Teams to Score: resolves Yes if both teams score at least one goal; No if either team scores zero
- If game is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed
- If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
- If game starts but is not completed, resolution uses the official CBF final score or credible reporting consensus if CBF has not published within 2 hours
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on its new date.
- Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split equally between Yes/No or between both outcomes).
- Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution uses the official CBF final score. If CBF has not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as fallback.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution. Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count.
- Threshold Interpretation: Over/Under markets use strict inequality: O/U 2.5 resolves Over at 3+ goals (not 2.5 exactly). Spread markets require the specified margin or greater (e.g., -1.5 requires a 2+ goal win).
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official CBF final score is published on cbf.com.br, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if credible reporting consensus is required. Markets remain open if the match is postponed until the rescheduled date is played.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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