TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns determining which team will score first in the CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Vitória match scheduled for August 26, 2026. The resolution depends on whether CR Vasco da Gama, EC Vitória, or neither team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming match between CR Vasco da Gama and EC Vitória, scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "EC Vitória" if EC Vitória are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Vasco da Gama vs Santos professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, allowing for varied outcomes depending on the final score. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user-driven trading, while Kalshi may reflect different liquidity or participant behavior. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, recent news about player injuries or weather conditions could shift sentiment on one platform faster than the other. Additionally, differing market designs or fee structures might cause price gaps. The way each platform handles order execution and market depth can also lead to variations, especially in smaller or less liquid markets like the first goal scorer market. These factors combined often explain the spread between the two venues.