TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano - More Markets
Volume:
$190,477
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Copa Sudamericana match between CR Vasco da Gama and Audax CS Italiano scheduled for April 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include spread bets (win margins of 1.5, 2.5, and 3+ goals for each team), total goals over/under lines (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and a moneyline outcome market. Resolution is based on the official final score from CONMEBOL within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction: all three possible outcomes (Vasco win, Audax win, tie) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market always-true and unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument. Polymarket markets are logically coherent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. It violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket spread and totals markets are tradeable and consistent. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this is a data entry error or if separate Yes/No markets exist for each outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: All markets (spreads, totals, both teams to score) resolve to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on official CONMEBOL final score. Example: Spread (-1.5) resolves Yes if Vasco wins by 2+, No otherwise. Source: conmebol.com, with fallback to credible reporting if official stats not published within 2 hours.
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Vasco wins... Yes. If Audax wins... Yes. If Tie... Yes.' All three outcomes map to Yes, creating a tautology. No coherent binary outcome structure exists. This violates prediction market design principles.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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