TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 10:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CR Flamengo and São Paulo FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Flamengo" if CR Flamengo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CR Flamengo and São Paulo FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Flamengo" if CR Flamengo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than a bookmaker's fixed margin. On this market, traders continuously adjust prices based on team news, injury reports, and tactical analysis, whereas sportsbooks may move more slowly or apply wider spreads. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is flowing and highlight potential value, though both sources ultimately reflect uncertainty about which team will strike first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader bets into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), and traders buy or sell shares to express their conviction. The more capital flows into one side, the higher its price rises, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that reflects the latest information and sentiment from the trading community.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed when credible public reporting establishes which team scored first, settling the prediction in favor of the winning side. Until that moment, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges, but the final result is determined solely by what happens on the pitch.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star strikers or defensive players, lineup announcements, and tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences. Weather conditions and pitch quality can influence early play and scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any last-minute roster changes will likely shift trader positioning. Social media sentiment and expert analysis may also sway the market as kickoff nears, reflecting evolving confidence in each team's attacking threat.