TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 10:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CR Flamengo and São Paulo FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CR Flamengo and São Paulo FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through real-money stakes. In this market, traders are directly wagering on the exact final score, which can reveal sharper probability estimates than traditional betting lines that focus on broader outcomes like win/loss or goal totals. Comparing the two can highlight where public perception and informed trader positioning differ most significantly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The system allows you to buy or sell shares in any outcome, with prices reflecting the collective confidence of all active traders. As more capital flows into a particular score, its price rises and others adjust downward. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the odds stay responsive to new information and trading demand throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play, with no ambiguity about which exact score outcome wins. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout automatically when resolution is confirmed. Until that moment, prices will fluctuate based on live match developments and shifting trader expectations.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift probabilities significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments. Live match events like early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will drive rapid repricing as traders update their score forecasts in real time. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting syndicate activity can also influence odds. Major shifts in implied probability often occur in the final minutes as the actual scoreline becomes clearer, making late trading particularly volatile.