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CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC?

Volume:
$3,204,346

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 7:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$629,989
N/A
N/A
$224,637
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$99,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Flamengo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,268,790
N/A
N/A
$414,380
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$587,288
N/A
N/A
$318,469
Settled
No
polymarket

São Paulo FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$195,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CR Flamengo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$422,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the CR Flamengo versus São Paulo FC Brazilian Série A match scheduled for July 26, 2026 will end in a draw, with the current aggregated consensus probability at 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolution based on the official result listed at the CBF website. The second outcome, a Flamengo win, has a probability of 0.1%. Watch for the match result on July 26, 2026, to determine the resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains contradictory resolution logic for cancellation scenarios, and Kalshi's three-market structure differs fundamentally from Polymarket's binary approach. Additionally, Kalshi does not explicitly specify cancellation handling.Hero tip: Before trading, obtain written clarification from both platforms on: (1) whether Polymarket's draw market truly resolves Yes on cancellation, or if this is a drafting error; (2) how Kalshi handles game cancellation across its three markets. The Polymarket draw market as currently written creates a logical impossibility that could lead to disputed settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Flamengo Win (Yes if Flamengo wins, No otherwise), Draw (Yes if draw, Yes if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise), São Paulo Win (Yes if São Paulo wins, No otherwise). Primary source is CBF official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. The draw market's dual Yes-resolution for both actual draws and cancellations creates a logical contradiction.
  • Kalshi: Three separate markets, each resolving Yes only if that specific outcome occurs: Flamengo Win, São Paulo Win, or Tie. All based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation handling is not explicitly defined in the provided rules. No mention of fallback to consensus reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, July 26, 2026 between CR Flamengo and São Paulo FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome will be one of three possibilities: Flamengo victory, Sao Paulo victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or postponed to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC match across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time odds on match outcomes. Both venues host active trading on this event, with combined volume reflecting trader conviction across independent platforms. You can compare how each marketplace prices the result, track shifts in consensus as match day approaches, and see which outcomes attract the most trading activity. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing discrepancies and understand where the broader prediction market community leans on this fixture.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Instead of a bookmaker setting odds, traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, and the market price reflects collective belief. This crowd-sourced mechanism often captures information faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially for niche or live-moving events. Sportsbooks manage risk through margin and limits; prediction markets reward accurate forecasting directly. For this match, comparing prediction market prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal where informed traders see value or disagreement on the likely result.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can shift odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings often influence trader sentiment as match day nears. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any off-field controversies may also sway pricing. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering either platform can trigger rapid repricing. Social media momentum and mainstream sports coverage sometimes amplify moves, especially if unexpected news breaks. Monitoring team news, betting flows, and cross-platform price action will help you anticipate volatility in this market.