Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 16, 2026, with the same source hierarchy (official governing body statistics within 2 hours, then credible reporting consensus).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from CONMEBOL (Confederación Sudamericana de Fútbol) as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources.
Core resolution logic:
Polymarket Flamengo Win market resolves YES if CR Flamengo wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, NO otherwise.
Polymarket Independiente Medellín Win market resolves YES if Independiente Medellín wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, NO otherwise.
Polymarket Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, NO otherwise.
Kalshi markets resolve YES if the specified outcome (Flamengo win, Medellín win, or tie) occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly one of the three mutually exclusive outcomes will resolve YES across the group.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket Flamengo and Medellín win markets resolve NO, and the Draw market resolves YES; Kalshi markets would resolve based on the cancellation outcome per their rules.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match scheduled for April 16, 2026 is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's Flamengo and Medellín win markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario follows its standard cancellation protocol.
Scope: Regular Time Only: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts; resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Source Hierarchy and Timing: Official CONMEBOL statistics are the primary source. If not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution basis.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official CONMEBOL announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 16, 2026, or within 2 hours thereafter if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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