TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 8:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets focuses on predicting the exact final score of the CR Flamengo vs. EC Vitória match scheduled for August 9, 2026, in the Brazil Série A league. The markets cover various possible scorelines and resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CR Flamengo and EC Vitória, scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CR Flamengo vs. EC Vitória match originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the number of goals scored by each team in the Flamengo vs Vitoria professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold for either Flamengo or Vitoria: over 0.5, over 1.5, or over 2.5 goals. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold. Own goals count toward the team to which they are awarded. The resolution considers only goals scored during regular time, with stoppage time included but extra time and penalties excluded.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights than traditional sportsbook lines, because traders can bet on exact outcomes like specific scorelines. Sportsbooks typically offer broader markets such as match winner or over/under goals, which can dilute nuance. The prediction market price here incorporates real-time trading activity and can react faster to new information, potentially providing better value or more accurate implied probabilities compared to sportsbook odds.
Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi arise from factors such as user base composition, liquidity levels, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more Brazilian traders familiar with Flamengo, skewing its probabilities, while the other could reflect a more global audience. Volume disparities also impact pricing efficiency, and each venue’s unique trading mechanics can amplify or dampen price movements.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting play, or strategic changes by coaches can all shift this market. High-profile betting activity on either platform may also create momentum swings. As the match nears, any last-minute news — like lineup announcements or tactical shifts — is likely to cause rapid adjustments in probability, especially given the exact-score nature of the wager.